Wastewater surveillance and an automated robot: effectively tracking SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the post-epidemic era.

Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has exhibited great utility in the early and rapid identification of SARS-CoV-2. However, the efficacy of wastewater surveillance under China's previous strict epidemic prevention policy remains to be described. We collected the WBE data of wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) in the Third People's Hospital of Shenzhen and several communities to determine the significant effectiveness of routine wastewater surveillance in monitoring the local spread of SARS-CoV-2 under tight containment of the epidemic. The results of 1 month of continuous wastewater surveillance showed that positive signals for SARS-CoV-2 RNA were detected in the wastewater samples, and a significant positive correlation was observed between the virus concentration and the number of daily cases. In addition, the community's domestic wastewater surveillance results were confirmed even 3 days before, or simultaneously with, the infected patient being confirmed as having the virus. Meanwhile, an automated sewage virus detection robot, ShenNong No.1 robot, was developed, showing a high degree of agreement with experimental data, offering the possibility of large-scale multi-point surveillance. Overall, our results illustrated the clear indicative role of wastewater surveillance in combating COVID-19 and provided a practical basis for rapidly expanding the feasibility and value of routine wastewater surveillance for future emerging infectious diseases.

Use of low molecular weight heparin and hemoglobin fall in COVID-19 patients: A STROBE-compliant study.

In patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), anticoagulation was suggested as a mitigating strategy. However, little research has been conducted on the adverse consequences of anticoagulant medication. This study aimed to investigate the adverse effect of low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) on hemoglobin fall in COVID-19 treatment. The electronic medical records of COVID-19 patients with pneumonia were collected (including clinical characteristics, vaccination status, complete blood count, coagulation profile, inflammatory cytokines, serum biochemical indicators, and computerized tomography imaging score). Whether they received LMWH, patients were divided into the LMWH group and the control group. Count data were represented as frequency distribution, and a 2-tailed test was used to compare the 2 groups. Spearman rank correlation was used to evaluate the interrelation between changes in hemoglobin and LMWH. The confounding factors were excluded by logistic regression analysis. A total of 179 COVID-19 pneumonia patients were enrolled (81 in the LMWH group and 98 in the control group). The change in hemoglobin was -6.0g/L (IQR -10.8 to 1.0) in the LMWH group and -2.0g/L (IQR -7.0 to 4.0) in the control group (P < .001, between-group difference, -5.0 g/L; 95% confidence interval, -7.0 to -3.0, calculated with the use of the Mann-Whitney U test and the Hodges-Lehmann estimate of confidence intervals for pseudo-medians). The results of multivariate regression analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors, LMWH use was not associated with a decrease in hemoglobin (P > .05). In nonsevere COVID-19 patients with pneumonia, the preventive use of LMWH did not lower hemoglobin.

Coronavirus disease 2019 death prediction by electrocardiographic abnormalities and elevated D-dimer levels

Background Electrocardiography (ECG) plays a very important role in various cardiovascular diseases and elevated D-dimer in serum associated with thrombosis. In patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), immense pieces of evidence showed that ECG abnormalities or elevated D-dimer in serum occurred frequently. However, it remains unclear whether ECG abnormalities combined with elevated D-dimer could be a new risk predictor in patients with COVID-19. Methods and results This retrospective cohort study enrolled 416 patients with COVID-19 at Wuhan Tongji Hospital from 1 February to 20 March 2020. ECG manifestations, D-dimer levels, and in-hospital deaths were recorded for all patients. Logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the association between ECG manifestations and in-hospital mortality in patients with elevated D-dimer levels. In patients hospitalized for COVID-19, ST-T abnormalities (34.3%) were the most frequent ECG manifestations, whereas sinus tachycardia (ST) (13.3%) and atrial arrhythmias with rapid rhythms (8.5%) were the two most common cardiac arrhythmias. Compared to severely ill patients with COVID-19, ST-T abnormalities, ST and atrial arrhythmias (p<0.001) with rapid rhythms, D-dimer levels, and in-hospital deaths were significantly more frequent in critically ill patients with COVID-19. Moreover, elevated D-dimer levels were observed in all the patients who died. In the subgroup of 303 patients with elevated serum D-dimer levels, the patient's age, the incidence of ST-T abnormalities, ST, atrial fibrillation (AF), and atrial premature beat were significantly higher than those in the non-elevated D-dimer subgroup. Multivariate logistic regression analysis further revealed that ST and AF were risk factors for in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients with elevated D-dimer levels. Conclusions ECG abnormalities and elevated D-dimer levels were associated with a higher risk of critical illness and death in patients hospitalized for COVID-19. ECG abnormalities, including ST and AF, combined with elevated D-dimer levels, can be used to predict death in COVID-19.

Development and validation of chest CT-based imaging biomarkers for early stage COVID-19 screening

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is currently a global pandemic, and early screening is one of the key factors for COVID-19 control and treatment. Here, we developed and validated chest CT-based imaging biomarkers for COVID-19 patient screening from two independent hospitals with 419 patients. We identified the vasculature-like signals from CT images and found that, compared to healthy and community acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients, COVID-19 patients display a significantly higher abundance of these signals. Furthermore, unsupervised feature learning led to the discovery of clinical-relevant imaging biomarkers from the vasculature-like signals for accurate and sensitive COVID-19 screening that have been double-blindly validated in an independent hospital (sensitivity: 0.941, specificity: 0.920, AUC: 0.971, accuracy 0.931, F1 score: 0.929). Our findings could open a new avenue to assist screening of COVID-19 patients.

Cuff inflation technique is better than Magill forceps technique to facilitate nasotracheal intubation guiding by GlideScope® video laryngoscope.

Video laryngoscopy is often selected to assist nasotracheal intubation in allowing better laryngeal visualization, although there is no comparative study evaluating the effectiveness between auxiliary techniques by using Magill forceps and inflated cuff in GlideScope video laryngoscopy for nasotracheal intubation. Fifty-one of 100 patients in a Magill forceps group and 47 of 100 patients in a cuff inflation group were included in the final analysis in this randomized, single-blind, parallel, clinical trial study. Induction agents were routinely administered according to body weight, while intubation time spent, attempts, and related side effects were recorded. Compared to the Magill forceps group, the cuff inflation technique shortened the total intubation time (70.0 ± 24.5 s vs. 87.0 ± 25.0 s, p = 0.001) and the time of advancing the nasotracheal tube from oropharyngeal space into the trachea (25.9 ± 16.4 s vs. 42.3 ± 21.2 s, p < 0.001). However, the number of intubation attempts was not significantly different between groups. During tube advancement, the tube was rotated to accommodate the glottis and trachea more frequently in the cuff inflation group (p = 0.009), but the blade of the laryngoscope shifted and was adjusted to the proper position more frequently in the Magill forceps group (p < 0.001). In the Magill forceps group, the tube cuff might be clipped incidentally and the intubator might shift their gaze away from the screen during intubation, although there was no significant difference in intubation-related side effects between groups. Unlike the conventional approach, nasotracheal intubation with the GlideScope® video laryngoscope using the auxiliary technique of cuff inflation could be more suited than using Magill forceps.

Use of low molecular weight heparin and hemoglobin fall in COVID-19 patients: A STROBE-compliant study

In patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), anticoagulation was suggested as a mitigating strategy. However, little research has been conducted on the adverse consequences of anticoagulant medication. This study aimed to investigate the adverse effect of low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) on hemoglobin fall in COVID-19 treatment. The electronic medical records of COVID-19 patients with pneumonia were collected (including clinical characteristics, vaccination status, complete blood count, coagulation profile, inflammatory cytokines, serum biochemical indicators, and computerized tomography imaging score). Whether they received LMWH, patients were divided into the LMWH group and the control group. Count data were represented as frequency distribution, and a 2-tailed test was used to compare the 2 groups. Spearman rank correlation was used to evaluate the interrelation between changes in hemoglobin and LMWH. The confounding factors were excluded by logistic regression analysis. A total of 179 COVID-19 pneumonia patients were enrolled (81 in the LMWH group and 98 in the control group). The change in hemoglobin was −6.0g/L (IQR −10.8 to 1.0) in the LMWH group and −2.0g/L (IQR −7.0 to 4.0) in the control group (P < .001, between-group difference, −5.0 g/L;95% confidence interval, −7.0 to −3.0, calculated with the use of the Mann–Whitney U test and the Hodges–Lehmann estimate of confidence intervals for pseudo-medians). The results of multivariate regression analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors, LMWH use was not associated with a decrease in hemoglobin (P > .05). In nonsevere COVID-19 patients with pneumonia, the preventive use of LMWH did not lower hemoglobin.

CLEC5A and TLR2 are critical in SARS-CoV-2-induced NET formation and lung inflammation (preprint)

Coronavirus-induced disease 19 (COVID-19) infects more than three hundred and sixty million patients worldwide, and people with severe symptoms frequently die of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Autopsy demonstrates the presence of thrombosis and microangiopathy in the small vessels and capillaries. Recent studies indicated that excessive neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) contributed to immunothrombosis, thereby leading to extensive intravascular coagulopathy and multiple organ dysfunction. Thus, understanding the mechanism of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-induced NET formation would be helpful to reduce thrombosis and prevent ARDS. It has been shown that sera from individuals with COVID-19 triggered NET release in vitro, and spleen tyrosine kinase (Syk) inhibitor R406 inhibited NETosis caused by COVID-19 plasma. However, the serum components responsible for NET formation are still unknown. In this study, we found that virus-free extracellular vesicles (EVs) from COVID-19 patients (COVID-19 EVs) induced robust NET formation via Syk-coupled C-type lectin member 5A (CLEC5A). Blockade of CLEC5A inhibited COVID-19 EVs-induced NETosis, and simultaneous blockade of CLEC5A and TLR2 further suppressed SARS-CoV-2-induced NETosis in vitro. Moreover, thromboinflammation and lung fibrosis were attenuated dramatically in clec5a-/-/tlr2-/- mice. These results suggest that COVID-19 EVs play critical roles in SARS-CoV-2-induced immunothrombosis, and blockade of CLEC5A and TLR2 is a promising strategy to inhibit SARS-CoV-2-induced intravascular coagulopathy and reduce the risk of ARDS in COVID-19 patients.

Intensity-Based Computation Tomography (CT) Evaluation of Temporal Changes in Lung Abnormalities During the Recovery Stage in COVID-19 In-Hospital Patients (preprint)

Background: The coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) and its variants have increased rapidly worldwide since December 2019, with respiratory disease being a prominent complication. As such, optimizing evaluation methods and identifying factors predictive of disease progress remain critical. The purpose of the study was to assess late phase (≥3 weeks) pulmonary changes using intensity-based computed tomography (CT) scoring in COVID-19 patients and determine the clinical characteristics predicting lung abnormalities and recovery. Methods: : We conducted a retrospective study on 42 patients (14 males, 28 females; age 65±10 years) with COVID-19. Only patients with at least 3 CT scans taken at least 3 weeks after initial symptom onset were included in the study. Two scoring methods were assessed: (1) area-based scoring (ABS) and (2) intensity-weighted scoring (IWS). Temporal changes in the average lung lesion were evaluated by the calculating the averaged area under the curve (AUC) of the CT score-time curve. Correlations between averaged AUCs and clinical characteristics were determined. Results: Using the ABS system, temporal changes in lung abnormalities during recovery were highly variable (P=0.934). By contrast, the IWS system detected more subtle changes in lung abnormalities during in COVID-19 patients, with consistent week-to-week relative reductions in IWS (P=0.025). Strong relationships were observed with D-dimer and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels on admission, with hazard ratios (HR)(95%CI) of 5.32 (1.25-22.6)(P=0.026) and 1.05 (1.10-1.09)(P=0.017), respectively. Conclusion: Our results suggest COVID-19-mediated pulmonary abnormalities persist well-beyond 3-weeks of symptom onset, with intensity-weighted rather than area-based scoring being more sensitive. Moreover, D-dimer and CRP levels were predictive of the recovery from the disease.

A Potent Bispecific Nanobody Protects hACE2 Mice Against SARS-CoV-2 Infection via Intranasal Administration (preprint)

The dramatically expanding COVID-19 needs multiple effective countermeasures. Neutralizing nanobodies (Nbs) are a potential therapeutic strategy for treating COVID-19. Here, we characterized several RBD-specific Nbs isolated from an Nb library derived from an alpaca immunized with SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein (S); among them, three Nbs exhibited picomolar potency against SARS-CoV-2 live virus, pseudotyped viruses, and 15 circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants. To improve the efficacy, various configurations of Nbs were engineered. Nb15-NbH-Nb15, a novel trimer constituted of three Nbs, was constructed to be bispecific for human serum albumin (HSA) and RBD of SARS-CoV-2. Nb15-NbH-Nb15 exhibited sub-ng/ml neutralization potency against the wild-type and currently circulating variants of SARS-CoV-2 with a long half-life in vivo. In addition, we showed that intranasal administration of Nb15H-Nb15 provided effective protection for both prophylactic and therapeutic purposes against SARS-CoV-2 infection in transgenic hACE2 mice. Nb15m-NbH-Nb15 is a potential candidate for both prevention and treatment of SARS-CoV-2 through respiratory administration.Funding: This work was supported by National Science Foundation of China (NSFC) (No. 81803414, 31970149), the Major Research and Development Project (2018ZX10301406), Nanjing University-Ningxia University Collaborative Project (Grant# 2017BN04), Jiangsu Province Natural Science Foundation for Young Scholar (Grant# BK20170653), Key Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (Grant# ZDA2020014), Jiangsu province “Innovative and Entrepreneurial talent” and Six Talent Peaks Project of Jiangsu Province, the Emergency Prevention and Control Capacity Program for New Severe Infectious diseases of National Institute for Viral Disease Control and Prevention, and the 135 Strategic Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences, the Science and Technology Innovation Committee of Shenzhen Municipality (JCYJ20180228162229889).Declaration of Interest: The authors have declared no conflict of interest. A patent application on the neutralizing Nbs was submitted by XW and ZW as co-inventors.Ethical Approval: The study and the protocol for this research were approved by the Center for Public Health Research, Medical School, Nanjing University. All animal experimental procedures without infection were approved by the Committee on the Use of Live Animals by the Ethics Committee of Nanjing University.

IL-6 and D-Dimer at Admission Predicts Cardiac Injury and Early Mortality during SARS-CoV-2 Infection (preprint)

BACKGROUND We recently described mortality of cardiac injury in COVID-19 patients. Admission activation of immune, thrombotic biomarkers and their ability to predict cardiacinjury and mortality patterns in COVID-19 is unknown. METHODS This retrospective cohort study included 170 COVID-19 patients with cardiac injury at admission to Tongji Hospital in Wuhan from January 29–March 8, 2020. Temporal evolution of inflammatory cytokines, coagulation markers, clinical, treatment and mortality were analyzed. RESULTS Of 170 patients, 60 (35.3%) died early (<21d) and 61 (35.9%) died after prolonged stay. Admission lab work that correlated with early death were elevate levels of interleukin 6 (IL-6) (p<0.0001), Tumor Necrosis Factor-a (TNF-a) (p=0.0025), and C-reactive protein (CRP) (p<0.0001). We observed the trajectory of biomarker changes after admission, and determined that early mortality had a rapidly increasing D-dimer, gradually decreasing platelet and lymphocyte counts. Multivariate and simple linear regression models showed that death risk was determined by immune and thrombotic pathway activation. Increasing cTnI levels were associated with those of increasing IL-6 (p=0.03) and D-dimer (p=0.0021). Exploratory analyses suggested that patients that received heparin has lower early mortality compared to those who did not (p =0.07), despite similar risk profile. CONCLUSIONS In COVID-19 patients with cardiac injury, admission IL-6 and D-dimer predicted subsequent elevation of cTnI and early death, highlighting the need for early inflammatory cytokine-based risk stratification in patients with cardiac injury. Condensed Abstract COVID-19 with cardiac injury is associated with worse survival. Admission activation of immune, thrombotic biomarkers and their ability to predict cardiac injury and mortality patterns in COVID-19 is unknown. This study proved that cardiac injury in these patients is closely related to the activation of immunological and thrombotic pathways and can be predicted by admission biomarkers of these pathways. This study supports the strategy of biomarker-guided, point-of-care therapy that warrants further studies in a randomized manner to develop anti-immune and anti-thrombotic treatment regimens in severe COVID-19 patients with cardiac injury.

A potent bispecific nanobody protects hACE2 mice against SARS-CoV-2 infection via intranasal administration (preprint)

The dramatically expanding COVID-19 needs multiple effective countermeasures. Neutralizing antibodies are a potential therapeutic strategy for treating COVID-19. A number of neutralizing nanobodies (Nbs) were reported for their in vitro activities. However, in vivo protection of these nanobodies was not reported in animal models. In the current report, we characterized several RBD-specific Nbs isolated from a screen of an Nb library derived from an alpaca immunized with SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein (S); among them, three Nbs exhibited picomolar potency against SARS-CoV-2 live virus, pseudotyped viruses, and 15 circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants. To improve the efficacy, various configurations of Nbs were engineered. Nb15-NbH-Nb15, a novel trimer constituted of three Nbs, was constructed to be bispecific for human serum albumin (HSA) and RBD of SARS-CoV-2. Nb15-NbH-Nb15 exhibited sub-ng/ml neutralization potency against the wild-type and currently circulating variants of SARS-CoV-2 with a long half-life in vivo. In addition, we showed that intranasal administration of Nb15-NbH-Nb15 provided 100% protection for both prophylactic and therapeutic purposes against SARS-CoV-2 infection in transgenic hACE2 mice. Nb15-NbH-Nb15 is a potential candidate for both prevention and treatment of SARS-CoV-2 through respiratory administration.

Computation Tomography (CT)-Based Evaluation of Temporal Changes in Lung Abnormalities During the Recovery Stage in COVID-19 In-Hospital Patients (preprint)

Objectives: To assess the late phase CT changes of COVID-19 patients, and figure out factors predicting lung abnormality in late phase.Methods: We conducted a retrospective study on 42 patients (14 males, 28 females; age 65±10 years) with COVID-19 admitted between February 7, 2020 and March 27, 2020. Only patients with at least 3 CT scans taken at least 3 weeks after initial symptom onset were included in the study. CT images were analyzed by 2 independent radiologists using different scoring: (1) area-based scoring (ABS); and (2) intensity-weighted scoring (IWS). Temporal changes in the average lung lesion were evaluated by averaged area under the curve (AUC) of the CT score-time curve. Correlations between averaged AUCs and clinical characteristics were determined. Results: Temporal changes in lung abnormalities during recovery (weeks 3 through 8) of CT findings using the ABS system were variable (P=0.934). By contrast, the IWS system detected more subtle changes in lung abnormalities during the late phase of recovery in COVID-19 patients, with consistent week-to-week relative reductions in IWS (P=0.025). In assessing the correlation between averaged AUCs and clinical characteristics, strong relationships were observed with D-dimer and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels on admission, with hazard ratios (HR)(95%CI) of 5.32 (1.25-22.6)(P=0.026) and 1.05 (1.10-1.09)(P=0.017), respectively. Conclusion: Our results suggest an intensity-weighted rather than area-based scoring system is more sensitive to detect subtle temporal CT changes in COVID-19, with D-dimer and CRP levels on admission being predictive of the time course of late phase recovery from the disease.

Clinical Characteristics and Risk Factors of Fatal Patients with COVID-19: a Retrospective Cohort Study in Wuhan, China (preprint)

Background The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has caused global pandemic, resulting in considerable mortality. The risk factors, clinical treatments and especially comprehensive risk models for COVID-19 death are urgently warranted.Methods In this retrospective study, 281 non-survivors and 712 survivors with propensity score matching by age, sex and comorbidities were enrolled from January 13, 2020 to March 31, 2020.Results Higher SOFA, qSOFA, APACHE II and SIRS scores, hypoxia, elevated inflammatory cytokines, multi-organ dysfunction, decreased immune cells subsets and complications were significantly associated with the higher COVID-19 death risk. In addition to traditional predictors for death risk, including APACHE II (AUC = 0.83), SIRS (AUC = 0.75), SOFA (AUC = 0.70) and qSOFA scores (AUC = 0.61), another four prediction models that included immune cells subsets (AUC = 0.90), multiple organ damage biomarkers (AUC = 0.89), complications (AUC = 0.88) and inflammatory-related indexes (AUC = 0.75) were established. Additionally, the predictive accuracy of combining these risk factors (AUC = 0.950) was also significantly higher than that of each risk group alone, outperforming previous risk models, which was significant for early clinical management for COVID-19.Conclusions The potential risk factors could help to predict the clinical prognosis of COVID-19 patients at an early stage. The combined model might be more suitable for the death risk evaluation of COVID-19.

COVID-19 patients with hypertension under potential risk of worsened organ injuries (preprint)

COVID -19 has rapidly spread from Wuhan to worldwide, and now has become a global health concern. Hypertension is the most common chronic illness in COVID-19, while the influence on those patients have not been well described. In this retrospective study, 82 confirmed patients with COVID-19 were enrolled, with epidemiological, demographic, clinical, laboratory, radiological, and therapies data analyzed and compared between COVID-19 patients with (29 cases) or without (53 cases) hypertension. Of all 82 patients with COVID-19, the median age of all patients was 60.5 years, including 49 females (59.8%) and 33 (40.2%) males. Hypertension (31[28.2%]) was the most chronic illness, followed by diabetes (16 [19.5%]) and cardiovascular disease (15 [18.3%]). Common symptoms included fatigue (55[67.1%]), dry cough (46 [56.1%]) and fever (≥37.3℃ (46 [56.1%]). The median time from illness onset to positive outcomes of RT-PCR analysis were 13.0 days, ranging from 3-25 days. In hypertension group, 6 (20.7%) patients died compared to 5 (9.4%) died in non-hypertension group. More hypertension patients with COVID-19 (8 [27.6%]) had at least one coexisting disease than those of non-hypertension patients (2 [3.8%]) (P=0.002). Compared with non-hypertension patients, higher levels of neutrophil counts, serum amyloid A, C-reactive protein, and NT-proBNP were observed in hypertension group, whereas levels of lymphocyte count and eGFR were decreased. Dynamic observations displayed more significant and worsened outcomes in hypertension group after hospital admission. COVID-19 patients with hypertension take more risks of severe inflammatory reactions, worsened internal organ injuries, and deteriorated progress. 

Modulation of Cardiac Injury by ACE inhibitor/ARB in Patients with Severe COVID-19 (preprint)

Introduction: Cardiac injury occurs in 7-22% of patient hospitalized with COVID-19 and an elevation in troponin is associated with a 4.2-fold increase in the risk of mortality. Preliminary data showed ACEi/ARB usage might not increase mortaily in COVID-19 patients. However, it is unknown if cardiac injury in patients with severe COVID-19 can be modulated by ACEi/ARB usage during evolution of the cardiac injury.Methods: In 154 COVID-19 patients with cardiac injury, the effect of ACEi/ARB treatment (17 patients) was compared with 137 patients without ACEi/ARB treatment. Cardiac injury was indicated by cTnI level.Results: In ACEi/ARB treatment group and no ACEi/ARB treatment group, peak cTnI level did not show significant difference (150.5 pg/ml [31.75-1179], vs 207 pg/ml [54.65-989.4], respectively, P = 0.21). Evolution of Cardiac injury (temporal change of cTnI at day 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, and 33) showed no statistical difference. Mortality (ACEi/ARB group vs no ACEi/ARB group; 52.9% vs 69.9%, P = 0.17), atrial arrhythmias (11.7% vs 24.4%, P = 0.36), requirement for invasive ventilatory support (29.4% vs 48.2%, P = 0.14) also showed no significant difference in two groups.Conclusions: ACEi/ARB usage during the COVID-19 was not associated with exacerbation of cardiac injury. These data should be interpreted as essentially hypothesis-generating due to small sample size.Clinical Trial Registration: This retrospective study was registered in Chinese clinical trial registry (ChiCTR 2000031301).

Identification of risk factors for the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a retrospective study of 163 hospitalized patients (preprint)

Background: To compare clinical features between moderate and severe cases with COVID-19, and screen factors associated with disease severity.Methods: Demographic and clinical data were compared between moderate and severe cases. Logistic regression was performed for prognostic factors.Results: 163 patients (median age 65.0 (56.8-71.0) years, 78 (47.9%) females) were enrolled, including 87 (53.4%) severe and 76 (46.6%) moderate cases. 79 (90.8%) severe and 59 (77.6%) moderate cases had comorbidities, with hypertension and diabetes commonly presented. The most common symptoms were fever. Severe cases had higher lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), inflammatory cytokines and lymphopenia, eosinopenia on admission, and lower eosinophil and higher neutrophil counts from admission to day 13 and 19. Multivariable regression showed that neutrophilia, eosinopenia, high LDH and D-dimer were associated with severe COVID-19. In receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, LDH, eosinophil and neutrophil + eosinophil + LDH + D-dimer combination, with area under curve of 0.86, 0.76 and 0.93, predicted severe illness with high sensitivity (82.8%, 83.3%, 88.0%) and specificity (68.4%, 84.2%, 81.3%).Conclusions: Eosinopenia, higher LDH and neutrophil + eosinophil + LDH + D-dimer combination on admission were powerful indicators of severe COVID-19. Dynamic changes of neutrophils and eosinophils may be used to evaluate disease progression.

Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of the Effectiveness and Safety of Hydroxychloroquine in COVID-19. (preprint)

Backgrounds. Since COVID-19 outbreak, various agents have been tested but no proven effective therapies have been identified. This has led to a lot of controversies among associated researches. Hence, in order to address the issue of using hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) in treating COVID-19 patients, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis. Methods. A thorough search was carried out to find relevant studies in MEDLINE, medRxiv, PubMed, Cochrane Database, China Academic Journals Full-text Database and Web of Science. Two investigators independently reviewed 274 abstracts and 23 articles. The trials which evaluated HCQ for treatment of COVID-19 were included for this systematic review. Two investigators assessed quality of the studies and data extraction was done by one reviewer and cross checked by the other. Results. Five trials involving 677 patients were included while conducting the meta-analysis. Compared with the control group, HCQ with or without azithromycin (AZI) showed benefits in viral clearance of SARS-CoV-2 (odds ratio (OR) 1.95, 95% CI 0.19-19.73) and a reduction in progression rate (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.58-1.37), but without demonstrating any statistical significance. This systematic review has also suggested a possible synergistic effect of the combination therapy which included HCQ and AZI. However, the use of HCQ was associated with increased mortality in COVID-19 patients. Conclusions. The use of HCQ with or without AZI for treatment of COVID-19 patients, seems to be effective. The combination of HCQ and AZI has shown synergistic effects. However, mortality rate was increased when the treatment was conducted with HCQ.